回顾性研究:木构建筑的历史增长、研究前沿与时间序列预测
Advancing Timber Construction Historical Growth, Research Frontiers, and Time Series Forecasting
Harrison Huang a, Shan Sua, and Lu Li a
a College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
DOI: 10.1080/13467581.2024.2373829. https://doi.org/10.1080/13467581.2024.2373829.
Abstract
Wood, heralded for its capacity to curtail building energy consumption and enhance environmental performance compared to traditional mineral-based materials, has gained substantial traction in the construction sector. Timber construction, a focal point of growing interest in both industry and academia, warrants a reassessment of its historical trajectory and future prospects. This study examines publications of timber construction from 1990 to 2022 to analyze its growth path, shifting hotspots, and potential research directions. By employing scientometric analysis, influential journals, articles, countries, and keywords are identified. Integration into a logistic growth model (LGM) showcases publication trends, while the prophet model forecasts global growth. Research frontiers and emerging themes are revealed through keyword surge evolution. This study offers a visualized knowledge framework, bridging current research with future trends and enabling practitioners and researchers to comprehensively grasp the evolution of timber construction.
Keywords: Timber construction, growth path, time series forecasting, scientometric analysis, research frontier
